Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Gameday Pick ‘em #4: Arkansas-Little Rock (3-0)

The Pundits

“Carter to practice Monday night” (OWH)
“Creighton backups step up” (OWH)
“Altman mostly mum about his day on the hill” (Arkansas Democrat-Gazette)
“Altman to make another pit stop” (Arkansas Democrat-Gazette)

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The Picks

Like it or not, tonight the Jays play their first road game of the season. But don’t confuse Arkansas-Little Rock with its brethren from Arkansas-Pine Bluff; the Trojans are no push over. And even though he’s coaching his first CU game in Arkansas tonight, as two of the articles above can attest to, coach Dana Altman is familiar with traveling to the state.

But Altman and the Jays have more to worry about than a smattering of boos that might rain down from the Jack Stephens Center crowd. UALR is fast, strong, and tall; a recipe that has caused Altman’s teams some problems no matter in what state the game is played.

Three Jays are scoring just about 15 points per game: Booker Woodfox (15.7 ppg), P’Allen Stinnett (15.7 ppg), and Cavel Witter (15.3 ppg). The Trojans counter with Matt Mouzy (15.7 ppg), Shane Edwards (15 ppg), and John Fowler (12.7 ppg). But with Justin Carter’s availability hazy right now following a hard foul suffered against Oral Roberts, Chad Millard and Casey Harriman and other Jays will need to step up to defend forwards Edwards and Fowler.

Carter’s possible absence also means a lot on the offensive side of the ball. He’s averaging just less than 10 points per game and has proven to be a difficult matchup for taller, slower forwards. He’s strong enough at 200 lbs. to guard larger forwards (he’s only 6-4), and if he’s out someone will need to step up in his place.

And if you thought the dude who slammed Carter to the ground on Saturday, Marcus Lewis, was big, get a load of Mike Smith. He’s a 6-7, 295 lbs. forward transfer from Ole’ Miss. Kenny Lawson and Kenton Walker will have their hands full trying to outrebound Smith and the rest of the Trojans.

Needless to say, Creighton will need to be clicking both offensively and defensively to win this early road game. According to Vegas, the Jays are about 3 or 3.5 point favorites in this away tilt.

Enough of this nonsense. To the picks!

(Dance Cam Guy, Panon, and I will pick ‘em each and every game on this site. We’ll keep track of the winner each game, and at the end of the year you’ll be able to find one of us three buying a round or two of expensive Scottrade Center brews at Arch Madness.)

Leading Scorer

Creighton Otter: Kenny Lawson (13)
Dance Cam Guy: Booker Woodfox (19)
Panon: Booker Woodfox (17)
Mrs. Creighton Otter: Cavel Witter (18)

Margin

Creighton Otter: Jays by 4
Dance Cam Guy: Jays by 7
Panon: Jays by 12
Mrs. Creighton Otter: Jays by 17

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